Journal of Shandong University (Health Sciences) ›› 2018, Vol. 56 ›› Issue (8): 114-120.doi: 10.6040/j.issn.1671-7554.0.2018.459

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Relationship between severe fever with thrombocytopenia syndrome and meteorological factors in Weihai City

WANG Xu1, ZHANG Dandan1, Zheng Zhaolei1, WANG Peizhu1, XU Qinqin1, WANG Xianjun2, DING Shujun2, LI Xiujun1,3   

  1. 1. Department of Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Shandong University, Jinan 250012, Shandong, China;
    2. Shandong Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Jinan 250014, Shandong, China;
    3. Shandong University Climate Change and Health Center, Jinan 250012, Shandong, China
  • Published:2022-09-27

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Abstract: Objective To explore the relationship between severe fever with thrombocytopenia syndrome(SFTS)and meteorological factors in Weihai City. Methods The incidence of SFTS and the meteorological factors in Weihai City from 2011 to 2015 were statistically interpreted. The months in which SFTS occurred were defined as the case months, and the months without SFTS occurrence were the non-case months. The case months and non-cases months were compared to analyze the differences in meteorological factors. Decision tree was established to classify the meteorological factors, which were then fit into negative binomial regression. The variables were diagnosed to select the optimal model. After that, the impacts of meteorological factors on SFTS were analyzed. Results There was a clear seasonal trend in the incidence of SFTS in Weihai City, and May to October was the peak of onset of the disease. The comparative analysis showed that there were differences in meteorological factors between the case months and non-case months except for average monthly sunshine duration. When the average monthly temperature was higher than 14 ℃, the incidence of SFTS increased(RR=3.41, 95%CI: 1.12-10.89). When the average monthly wind speed was faster than 5.8 m/s, 山 东 大 学 学 报 (医 学 版)56卷8期 -王旭,等.威海市发热伴血小板减少综合征与气象因素关系 \=-the incidence of SFTS decreased(RR=0.62, 95%CI: 0.39-0.96). Conclusion The average monthly temperature above 14 ℃ may be a risk factor for SFTS, while the average monthly wind speed above 5.8 m/s may be a protective factor for the disease.

Key words: Severe fever with thrombocytopenia syndrome, Meteorological factors, Negative binomial regression, Tick, Risk factor

CLC Number: 

  • R384
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