Journal of Shandong University (Health Sciences) ›› 2018, Vol. 56 ›› Issue (8): 95-100.doi: 10.6040/j.issn.1671-7554.0.2018.165

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Effect of meteorological factors and their interaction on hand-foot-mouth disease in Nanning City, China during 2008 to 2011

LIU Yanyu1, LIU Zhidong1, LAO Jiahui1, ZHANG Jing1, JIANG Baofa1,2   

  1. 1.Department of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, Shandong University, Jinan 250012, Shandong, China;
    2. Shandong University Climate Change and Health Center, Jinan 250012, Shandong, China
  • Published:2022-09-27

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Abstract: Objective To analyze the influence of meteorological factors and their interaction on hand-foot-mouth disease(HFMD)in Nanning City, China. Methods Weekly data of HFMD cases in Nanning City during 2008 to 2011 were collected. Generalized additive model was used to evaluate the influence of meteorological factors on the incidence of HFMD, and the interaction among meteorological factors was explored. Results The meteorological factors had nonlinear effect on HFMD. The number of cases of the disease increased continuously with the increase of the average temperature, and reached the peak at around 24 ℃, then decreased gradually as the temperature increased. However, the number of HFMD cases gradually decreased with the increase of rainfall after the peak at 40 mm. The average temperature had a certain interaction with relative humidity and average wind speed. The number of HFMD cases increased under the condition of high temperature and low humidity, and high wind speeds under the suitable temperature. Conclusion The average temperature, rainfall and other meteorological factors have nonlinear effects on the incidence of HFMD, and there is certain interaction among the meteorological factors.

Key words: Hand-foot-mouth disease, Meteorological factors, Interaction, Average temperature

CLC Number: 

  • R181.3
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