Journal of Shandong University (Health Sciences) ›› 2018, Vol. 56 ›› Issue (8): 50-55.doi: 10.6040/j.issn.1671-7554.0.2018.128

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Impacts of tropical cyclones on the incidence of hand-foot-mouth disease in Guangdong Province, 2009-2013

XUN Huanmiao1,2*, HU Wenqi1*, LIU Yicong1*, MA Wei1,3   

  1. 1. Department of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, Shandong University, Jinan 250012, Shandong, China;
    2. Department of Infectious Diseases, Fushan Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Yantai 265500, Shandong, China;
    3. Shandong University Climate Change and Health Center, Jinan 250012, Shandong, China
  • Published:2022-09-27

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Abstract: Objective To explore the effects of tropical cyclones on the incidence of hand-foot-mouth disease(HFMD)in Guangdong Province during 2009 and 2013. Methods The effects of tropical cyclones of different grades on the incidence of HFMD in people aged 0-14 years were quantitatively analyzed with time stratified case-cross design. The lag effect was also explored. Subgroup analyses were conducted according to age, sex and educational style. Results Tropical storms could increase the risk of HFMD in population aged 0-14 years in 4-6 lag days. The RR value reached its maximum of 1.59(95%CI: 1.20-2.11)on the 5th lag day. Typhoon had no significant effect on the incidence of HFMD. Male, children aged 0-4 years and scattered children were sensitive to tropical storms. The RR value of male and scattered children reached the maximum on the 5th lag day, which was 1.75(95%CI: 1.29-2.37)and 1.60(95%CI: 1.18-2.16), respectively. The RR value of children aged 0-4 years reached the maximum on the 4th lag day, which was 山 东 大 学 学 报 (医 学 版)56卷8期 -荀换苗,等.2009~2013年广东省热带气旋对手足口病的影响 \=-1.58(95%CI: 1.18-2.10). Conclusion Tropical cyclones can increase the risk of HFMD in people aged 0-14 years and have lag effect. Measures should be taken to prevent the occurrence of HFMD among children and young people after tropical storms attack, especially among boys, children aged 0-4 years and scattered children.

Key words: Tropical cyclone, Hand-foot-mouth disease, Children, Case-crossover design

CLC Number: 

  • R181.3
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