Journal of Shandong University (Health Sciences) ›› 2018, Vol. 56 ›› Issue (11): 91-97.doi: 10.6040/j.issn.1671-7554.0.2017.1206

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Association between ambient ozone and mortality of respiratory diseases in Jinan, China: a time series analysis

CAO Ruoming1, CUI Liangliang2, JIANG Chao3, JING Yiming1, ZHOU Lin4, ZHANG Lin3, LIU Shouqin1   

  1. 1. Office of Public Health Services, Jinan Municipal Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Jinan 250021, Shandong, China;
    2. Department of Environmental Health, Jinan Municipal Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Jinan 250021, Shandong, China;
    3. Shizhong District Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Jinan 250022, Shandong, China;
    4. Non-Communicable Chronic Disease Branch, Jinan Municipal Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Jinan 250021, Shandong, China
  • Published:2022-09-27

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Abstract: Objective To investigate the association between ambient ozone(O3)and mortality of respiratory diseases in Jinan City. Methods The daily information of air pollutants, meteorological indicators and mortality of respiratory diseases during 2013 and 2015 was collected. The association between daily O3 and mortality of respiratory diseases was evaluated with general linear model(GLM)based on Quasi-Poisson regression. Confounding factors of the seasonal 山 东 大 学 学 报 (医 学 版)56卷11期 -曹若明,等.济南市大气污染物O3与居民呼吸系统疾病死亡风险的时间序列分析 \=-patterns, long-term trends, meteorological factors, day of the week(DOW)effect, holiday effect and warm-heating effect were controlled. Excess risk(ER)and 95% confidence interval(95%CI)of the mortality of respiratory diseases were calculated based on a 10 μg/m3 increase in O3 concentration. Sensitive analysis was conducted, including dual-pollutant model(O3+PM2.5, O3+SO2, O3+NO2)and multi-pollutant model(O3+PM2.5+SO2+NO2). A further analysis was conducted based on gender and age group stratification. Results The daily average concentration of O3 was 102 μg/m3, and 8 persons died of respiratory diseases daily. Overall, with 10 μg/m3 increase in the concentration of O3, the ERs for mortality of respiratory diseases were 0.95%(95%CI: 0.28%-1.63%)and 1.70%(95%CI: 0.27%-3.16%)in lag3 and lag05, respectively. There was no statistical difference in ER between male and female, but a significantly higher ER was observed in persons aged ≥65 years. Conclusion There is a positive association between daily O3 and mortality of respiratory diseases in Jinan, especially among people who are above 65 years old.

Key words: Ozone, Respiratory City disease, Mortality, Time series analysis

CLC Number: 

  • R574
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