山东大学学报 (医学版) ›› 2024, Vol. 62 ›› Issue (3): 61-69.doi: 10.6040/j.issn.1671-7554.0.2024.0057
杨雪彦1,2,吴寅平1,2,吕丽3,赵泽华1,2,马行宇1,2,李凤彩1,2,王凯1,2,范玉琛1,2
YANG Xueyan1,2, WU Yinping1,2, LYU Li3, ZHAO Zehua1,2, MA Hangyu1,2, LI Fengcai1,2, WANG Kai1,2, FAN Yuchen1,2
摘要: 目的 研究单核细胞与淋巴细胞比值(monocyte/lymphocyte ratio, MLR)动态变化对慢加急性乙型肝炎肝衰竭(acute-on-chronic hepatitis B liver failure, ACHBLF)患者临床预后的诊断价值。 方法 回顾性纳入2010年1月至2023年7月在山东大学齐鲁医院肝病科住院的ACHBLF患者,平滑曲线拟合与阈值效应分析MLR值与患者30 d死亡风险的非线性关系,Logistic回归分析和Boruta算法评估患者30 d预后的风险因素,受试者工作特征曲线(receiver operating characteristic curve, ROC)评估MLR的诊断价值,Bootstrap法验证MLR的诊断价值。 结果 共纳入ACHBLF患者243例,其中98例患者在30 d内死亡。入院第8天MLR值是患者30 d预后的独立风险因素(OR=1.33, 95%CI:1.01~1.75, P=0.044),与30 d死亡风险呈非线性关系,入院第8天MLR值>1的患者死亡风险高于第8天MLR值≤1的患者(P<0.001)。入院第8天MLR值联合终末期肝病模型(model for end-stage liver disease, MELD)评分诊断30 d患者死亡的ROC曲线下面积为0.775(95%CI: 0.69~0.86)。 结论 入院第8天MLR>1提示ACHBLF患者30 d的预后不良,动态监测MLR的变化有助于ACHBLF的临床诊疗。
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