Journal of Shandong University (Health Sciences) ›› 2018, Vol. 56 ›› Issue (11): 123-129.doi: 10.6040/j.issn.1671-7554.0.2018.226

Previous Articles    

Trend analysis and forecast of the contents of metal and metalloid elements in the air fine particulate matter in Jinan City, China

SUN Zhan1, LIU Zhong1, ZHANG Xin1, YU Zhigang1, LI Xinwei2, CUI Liangliang2, ZHANG Yi2, LIU Lanzheng1   

  1. 1. Department of Physical and Chemical Testing;
    2. Department of Enviromental Health, Jinan Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Jinan 250021, Shandong, China
  • Published:2022-09-27

PDF (PC)

35

Abstract: Objective To analyze the variation trend of metal and metalloid elements in the air fine particulate matter from 2014 to 2017 in Jinan City, and provide corresponding data supports for the scientific and targeted air pollution control. Methods According to the regional characteristics of air pollution in Jinan City, the samples were selected from two monitoring points in Licheng and Shizhong Districts. The concentrations of fine particulate matter, metal, and metalloid elements were detected. Using the data from 2014 to 2017, a prediction model was established, and the concentration of fine particulate matter in 2018 was predicted by using prediction model. Results During 2014-2017, the concentration of fine particulate matter in Jinan City ranged from 4.7 μg/m3 to 497.8 μg/m3. The concentration of fine particulate matter in the second and third quarters were lower than that in the first and fourth quarters, and the concentration of fine particulate matter in Licheng District was higher than that in Shizhong District. The exceeding standard ratio of the 24 h average value was 45.43%, while the mean of the 24 h average value was(1.06±0.81)times. The overall trend of 12 metal and metalloid elements was consistent with the mass concentration; it remained basically high from 山 东 大 学 学 报 (医 学 版)56卷11期 -孙湛,等.济南市空气细颗粒物浓度和金属及类金属元素变化趋势和预测 \=-2014 to 2015, and gradually decreased in 2016. The peak of mass concentration was always later than the peak of metal and metalloid concentration. The predicted concentration of fine particulate matter in 2018 was decreased compared with that in 2017. Conclusion The concentration of fine particulate matter and the metal and metalloid elements varied significantly in different quarters, and the higher levels were observed in the first and fourth quarters. So, specific control measures should be taken according to different air pollution status. The predictive effect of the time-series model of the concentration of fine particulate matter in Jinan works well, which can not only contributes to understanding the trends of the concentration of fine particulate matter in Jinan, but also can serve as an important indicator of heavy pollution.

Key words: Fine particular matter, Metal and metalloid elements, Tendency, Forecast, Concentration

CLC Number: 

  • R122
[1] 燕丽, 杨金田. 我国大气细颗粒物污染现状及控制对策探讨[J]. 中国人口·资源与环境, 2013, 23(S2): 82-84.
[2] 张桂芹, 刘泽常, 杜世勇. 济南市环境空气细粒子PM2.5污染特征及影响因素[J]. 环境科学与技术, 2010, 33(S2): 520. ZHANG Guiqin, LIU Zechang, DU Shiyong. Pollution characteristics of fine particles PM2.5 and influence factors in Jinan City[J]. Environmental Science & Technology, 2010, 33(S2): 520.
[3] 杜鹏瑞, 杜睿, 任伟珊. 城市大气颗粒物毒性效应及机制的研究进展[J]. 中国环境科学, 2016, 36(9): 2815-2827. DU Pengrui, DU Rui, REN Weishan. Research progress on toxicological characteristics and mechanisms of urban atmospheric particulate matters[J]. China Environmental Science, 2016, 36(9): 2815-2827.
[4] 胡子梅, 王军, 陶征楷, 等. 上海市PM2.5重金属污染水平与健康风险评价[J]. 环境科学学报, 2013, 33(12): 3399-3406. HU Zimei, WANG Jun, TAO Zhengkai, et al. Pollution level and health risk assessment of heavy metals in PM2.5 Shanghai[J]. Acta Scientiae Circumstantiae, 2013, 33(12): 3399-3406.
[5] World Health Organization. Review of evidence on health aspects of air pollution-REVIHAAP Project[R]. Copenhagen: World Health Organization Regional Office for Europe, 2013: 1-302.
[6] Kang I G. The effect of PM10 on allergy symptoms in allergic rhinitis patients during spring season[J]. Int J Environ Res Public Health, 2015, 12(1): 735-745.
[7] 刘仲, 于志刚, 孙湛, 等. 2013年济南市采暖季大气细颗粒物污染监测分析[J]. 环境卫生学杂志, 2015, 5(6): 520-524. LIU Zhong, YU Zhigang, SUN Zhan, et al. Fine particulate matters analysis in air during heating season in Jinan in 2013[J]. Journal of Environmental Hygiene, 2015, 5(6): 520-524.
[8] 梁锐明, 殷鹏, 周脉耕. 大气PM2.5长期暴露对健康影响的队列研究进展[J]. 环境与健康杂志, 2016, 33(2): 172-177. LIANG Ruiming, YIN Peng, ZHOU Maigeng. Long-term exposure to fine particulate air pollution and health effects: a review of recent cohorts[J]. Journal of Environment and Health, 2016, 33(2): 172-177.
[9] 陶燕, 刘亚梦, 米生权, 等. 大气细颗粒物的污染特征及对人体健康的影响[J]. 环境科学学报, 2014, 34(3): 592-597. TAO Yan, LIU Yameng, MI Shengquan, et al. Atmospheric pollution characteristics of fine particles and their effects on human health[J]. Acta Scientiae Circumstantiae, 2014, 34(3): 592-597.
[10] 郭新彪, 魏红英. 大气PM2.5对健康影响的研究进展[J]. 科学通报, 2013, 58(13): 1171-1177. GUO Xinbiao, WEI Hongying. Progress on the health effects of ambient PM2.5 pollution[J]. Chinese Science Bulletin, 2013, 58(13): 1171-1177.
[11] 谢元博, 陈娟, 李巍. 雾霾重污染期间北京居民对高浓度PM2.5持续暴露的健康风险及其损害价值评估[J]. 环境科学, 2014, 35(1): 1-8. XIE Yuanbo, CHEN Juan, LI Wei. An Assessment of PM2.5 related health risks and impaired values of Beijing residents in a consecutive[J]. Environmental Science, 2014, 35(1): 1-8.
[12] 王文朋, 沈惠平, 黄云彪, 等. 大气PM2.5细颗粒物污染状况及对人体健康的影响[J]. 上海预防医学, 2015, 27(5): 290.
[13] 孙湛, 刘仲, 杨月莲, 等. 济南市冬季灰霾期间儿童唾液溶菌酶浓度分析[J]. 中国公共卫生管理,2016, 32(2): 178-179. SUN Zhan, LIU Zhong, YANG Yuelian, et al. Study on concentration of salivary lysozyme of children in dust-haze days of winter in Ji-nan[J]. Chinese Journal of Public Health Management, 2016, 32(2): 178-179.
[14] Cai Y. Cross-sectional associations between air pollution and chronic bronchitis: an ESCAPE meta-analysis across five cohorts[J]. Thorax, 2014, 69(11): 1005-1014.
[15] 胡彬, 陈瑞, 徐建勋, 等. 雾霾超细颗粒物的健康效应[J]. 科学通报, 2015, 60(30): 2808-2823. HU Bin, CHEN Rui, XU Jianxun, et al. Health effects of ambient ultrafine(nano)particles in haze[J]. Chinese Science Bulletin, 2015, 60(30):2808-2823.
[16] 潘小川. 关注中国大气灰霾PM2.5对人群健康影响的新常态[J]. 北京大学学报(医学版), 2015, 47(3): 377-379.
[17] 吴俊, 陈晓东, 周连, 等. 南京市某区大气中PM2.5污染状况及变化趋势分析[J]. 环境卫生学杂志, 2013, 3(2): 77-79. WU Jun, CHEN Xiaodong, ZHOU Lian, et al. Analysis on the pollution status and change trend of PM2.5 in the atmosphere in Nanjing[J]. Journal of Environmental Hygiene, 2013, 3(2): 77-79.
[18] 环境保护部, 国家质量监督检验检疫总局. GB3095-2012环境空气质量标准[S]. 北京:中国环境科学出版社, 2016.
[19] 严宙宁, 牟敬锋, 赵星, 等. 基于ARIMA模型的深圳市大气PM2.5浓度时间序列预测分析[J]. 现代预防医学, 2018, 45(2): 220-223. YAN Yunin, MU Jingfeng, ZHAO Xing, et al. The time series prediction of PM2.5 in Shenzhen based on ARIMA model[J]. Modern Preventive Medicine, 2018, 45(2): 220-223.
[20] 高宇钊, 房瑞玲, 李少琼, 等. 太原市大气细颗粒物变化趋势与预测模型分析[J]. 中国药物与临床, 2015, 15(5): 603-606. GAO Yuzhao, FANG Ruiling, LI Shaoqiong, et al. Variation trend and forecast model of atmospheric PM2.5 in Taiyuan[J]. Chinese Remedies & Clinics, 2015, 15(5): 603-606.
[21] 刘宗伟, 周彩丽, 马冬梅, 等. 自回归移动平均模型在预测PM2.5中的应用[J]. 预防医学论坛, 2016, 22(8): 582-584. LIU Zongwei, ZHOU Caili, MA Dongmei, et al. Forecast of PM2.5 with the ARMA model[J]. Preventive Medicine Tribune, 2016, 22(8): 582-584.
[22] 薛元恺, 周丽玲. 我国灰霾天气成因与防治对策探讨[J].环境卫生学杂志, 2017, 7(3): 248-254. XUE Yuankai, ZHOU Liling. Causes and control measures of hazy weather in China[J]. Journal of Environmental Hygiene, 2017, 7(3): 248-254.
[23] 薛江, 蒋德海, 王丹璐, 等. 兰州市冬季和春季PM2.5金属元素浓度水平与分布[J]. 中国环境监测, 2015, 31(5): 67-72. XUE Jiang, JIANG Dehai, WANG Danlu, et al. Metal elements in fine particles and distributing characteristic in Lanzhou in winter and spring[J]. Environmental Monitoring in China, 2015, 31(5): 67-72.
[24] 孙湛, 刘素萍, 张谊, 等. 济南市PM2.5中金属及类金属元素季节性变化及相关性分析[J]. 环境卫生学杂志, 2017, 7(5): 403-407. SUN Zhan, LIU Suping, ZHANG Yi, et al. Analysis of seasonal variation and correlation of metal elements in PM2.5 in Jinan City[J]. Journal of Environmental Hygiene, 2017, 7(5): 403-407.
[25] 余家燕, 刘芮伶, 翟崇治, 等. 重庆城区PM2.5中金属浓度及其来源[J]. 中国环境监测, 2014, 30(3): 37-42. YU Jiayan, LIU Ruiling, ZHAI Chongzhi, et al. Concentration and source analysis of metals in PM2.5 in Chongqing urban[J] Environmental Monitoring in China, 2014, 30(3): 37-42.
[26] 于扬, 岑况, Stefan Norra,等. 北京市PM2.5中主要重金属元素污染特征及季节变化分析[J]. 现代地质, 2012, 23(5): 975-982. YU Yang, CEN Kuang, Srefan Norra, et al. Concentration characteristics and seasonal trend of main heavy metal elements of PM2.5 in Beijing[J]. Geoscience, 2012, 23(5): 975-982.
[27] 陶俊, 张仁健, 段菁春, 等. 北京城区PM2.5中致癌重金属季节变化特征及其来源分析[J]. 环境科学, 2014, 35(2): 411-417. TAO Jun, ZHANG Renjian, DUAN Jingchun, et al. Seasonal variation of carcinogenic heavy metals in PM2.5 and Source Beijing[J]. Environmental Science, 2014, 35(2): 411-417.
[28] 李尉卿, 毛晓明, 李舒, 等. 郑州市近地层1.5和40米处大气气溶胶中微量元素及晶体物质的分布[J]. 现代科学仪器, 2007, 1: 92-95. LI Weiqing, MAO Xiaoming, LI Shu, et al. Vertical distributing of microelements and crystalloids of aerosol in atmosphere anear ground layer of Zhengzhou City[J]. Modern Scientific Instruments, 2007, 1: 92-95.
[29] 乔宝文, 刘子锐, 胡波, 等. 北京冬季PM2.5中金属元素浓度特征和来源分析[J]. 环境科学, 2017, 38(3): 876-883. QIAO Baowen, LIU Zirui, HU Bo, et al. Concentration characteristics and sources of trace metals in PM2.5 during wintertime in Beijing[J]. Environmental Science, 2017, 38(3): 876-883.
[30] 胡跃华, 廖家强, 冯国双, 等. 自回归移动平均模型在全国手足口病疫情预测中的应用[J]. 疾病监测, 2014, 29(10): 827-832. HU Yuehua, LIAO Jiaqiang, FENG Guoshuang, et al. Application of multiple seasonal autoregressive integrated moving average model in prediction of incidence of hand foot and mouth disease in China[J]. Disease Surveillance, 2014, 29(10): 827-832.
[31] Munoz-Tuduri M, Garcia-Moro C, Waiker PL. Time series analysis of the epidemiological transition in Minorca 1634—1997[J]. Hum Biol, 2006, 78(4): 619-634.
[32] 张蕊, 郑黎强, 潘国伟. 疾病发病风险预测模型的应用与建立[J]. 中国卫生统计, 2015, 32(4): 724-726.
[33] 范引光, 吕金伟, 戴色莺, 等. ARIMA模型与灰色预测模型GM(1,1)在HIV感染人数预测中的应用[J]. 中华疾病控制杂志, 2012, 16(12): 1100-1103. FAN Yinguang, LU Jinwei, DAI Seyin, et al. Prediction on the number of HIV with models of ARIMA and GM(1,1)[J]. Chinese Journal of Disease Control & Prevention, 2012, 16(12): 1100-1103.
[1] CAO Meng, WANG Liheng, PENG Xiumiao, CUI Liangliang. Concentration characteristics and chronic health risk assessment of polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons in atmospheric PM2.5 in two districts of Jinan from 2016 to 2020 [J]. Journal of Shandong University (Health Sciences), 2021, 59(12): 87-95.
[2] MA Jie, TIAN Ye, HUANG Lu, MENG Weijing, WANG Suzhen, SHI Fuyan. Comparison of multiple seasonal ARIMA model and generalized regression neural network model in forecasting the incidence of brucellosis [J]. Journal of Shandong University (Health Sciences), 2018, 56(6): 76-82.
[3] QIN Lumin, SUN Aiyou, WANG Qianwen, GAO Jingwen, WEI Dongzhi. Improvement of pediocin yield by a novel high residual sugar and re-alkalized feeding strategy [J]. JOURNAL OF SHANDONG UNIVERSITY (HEALTH SCIENCES), 2017, 55(9): 41-45.
[4] LI Yan, LIU Kun, SUN Xiaojie. Health inequality related to income and influencing factors of the rural elderly in three counties of Shandong Province [J]. JOURNAL OF SHANDONG UNIVERSITY (HEALTH SCIENCES), 2016, 54(6): 91-96.
[5] LIU Hongyang, XIAO Jinhuan, WANG Fan, YANG Guang, LIU Hongqing. Seasonal characteristics of hand, foot and mouth disease in Shandong Province during 2008 and 2014 analyzed with concentration and circular distribution methods [J]. JOURNAL OF SHANDONG UNIVERSITY (HEALTH SCIENCES), 2016, 54(12): 77-81.
[6] SU Jun-hua1, SHI Dong-yan1, WANG Lei2, LI Wei-hao1, DU Su-ping3, LI Yong-jun1. In vitro antibacterial activity of resveratrol against Enterococcus [J]. JOURNAL OF SHANDONG UNIVERSITY (HEALTH SCIENCES), 2014, 52(2): 16-19.
[7] WANG Yanchi, LIU Tianqi, WANG Dong, LI Quan, LI Peijie, BI Yanbin, LI Min, XU Li, MA Yanping, WANG Minghua. Clinical efficacy of orthotopic heart transplantation for 40 patients [J]. JOURNAL OF SHANDONG UNIVERSITY (HEALTH SCIENCES), 2014, 52(12): 60-63.
[8] CAO Hong-li1, LIU Shu-ying2. Relationship of plasma concentration of brain natriuretic peptide and lung cancer [J]. JOURNAL OF SHANDONG UNIVERSITY (HEALTH SCIENCES), 2013, 51(8): 62-64.
[9] ZHOU Xiao-ying1,2, HOU Xin-guo1,2, SONG Jun1,2, DENG Nan1,2, XIAO Fang1,2, WANG Mei-jian, LIU Ji-dong1,2, YANG Jun-peng1,2, CHEN Li1,2. The influence of stress hyperglycemia on the recovery of
daily living activity in stroke patients [J]. JOURNAL OF SHANDONG UNIVERSITY (HEALTH SCIENCES), 2012, 50(5): 5-.
[10] TAN lin, LI Sha-sha, GAO Xue-wu. Effect of anti-virus combined with glucocorticoids and plasma exchange on
patients with hepatitis B with tendency to Hepatargia [J]. JOURNAL OF SHANDONG UNIVERSITY (HEALTH SCIENCES), 2012, 50(3): 90-92.
[11] LI Ming-ying1， WANG Guang-li2， CUI Ding-ye2， ZHANG Cheng-qi2. Preliminary study of lung cancer types with gemstone spectral CT imaging [J]. JOURNAL OF SHANDONG UNIVERSITY (HEALTH SCIENCES), 2012, 50(12): 73-.
[12] . Calculating the venous blood concentration of inhalation 
anesthetics with a clinical gas analyzer [J]. JOURNAL OF SHANDONG UNIVERSITY (HEALTH SCIENCES), 2009, 47(9): 86-88.
[13] . Antibiotics in reducing resistant mutants of Pseudomonas 
aeruginosa in vitro [J]. JOURNAL OF SHANDONG UNIVERSITY (HEALTH SCIENCES), 2009, 47(9): 25-27.
[14] . Comparison of linezolid and vancomycin in preventing the drug resistant mutants for staphylococcus aureus [J]. JOURNAL OF SHANDONG UNIVERSITY (HEALTH SCIENCES), 2009, 47(8): 42-44.
[15] . Prediction of HBV multiepitope vaccines based on GIS in the population of China [J]. JOURNAL OF SHANDONG UNIVERSITY (HEALTH SCIENCES), 2009, 47(7): 125-132.
Viewed
Full text


Abstract

Cited
  Shared   
  Discussed   
No Suggested Reading articles found!
Copyright 2018 © Editorial office of Journal of Shandong University (Health Sciences)
Supported by Beijing Magtech Co.Ltd