Journal of Shandong University (Health Sciences) ›› 2018, Vol. 56 ›› Issue (11): 123-129.doi: 10.6040/j.issn.1671-7554.0.2018.226

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Trend analysis and forecast of the contents of metal and metalloid elements in the air fine particulate matter in Jinan City, China

SUN Zhan1, LIU Zhong1, ZHANG Xin1, YU Zhigang1, LI Xinwei2, CUI Liangliang2, ZHANG Yi2, LIU Lanzheng1   

  1. 1. Department of Physical and Chemical Testing;
    2. Department of Enviromental Health, Jinan Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Jinan 250021, Shandong, China
  • Published:2022-09-27

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Abstract: Objective To analyze the variation trend of metal and metalloid elements in the air fine particulate matter from 2014 to 2017 in Jinan City, and provide corresponding data supports for the scientific and targeted air pollution control. Methods According to the regional characteristics of air pollution in Jinan City, the samples were selected from two monitoring points in Licheng and Shizhong Districts. The concentrations of fine particulate matter, metal, and metalloid elements were detected. Using the data from 2014 to 2017, a prediction model was established, and the concentration of fine particulate matter in 2018 was predicted by using prediction model. Results During 2014-2017, the concentration of fine particulate matter in Jinan City ranged from 4.7 μg/m3 to 497.8 μg/m3. The concentration of fine particulate matter in the second and third quarters were lower than that in the first and fourth quarters, and the concentration of fine particulate matter in Licheng District was higher than that in Shizhong District. The exceeding standard ratio of the 24 h average value was 45.43%, while the mean of the 24 h average value was(1.06±0.81)times. The overall trend of 12 metal and metalloid elements was consistent with the mass concentration; it remained basically high from 山 东 大 学 学 报 (医 学 版)56卷11期 -孙湛,等.济南市空气细颗粒物浓度和金属及类金属元素变化趋势和预测 \=-2014 to 2015, and gradually decreased in 2016. The peak of mass concentration was always later than the peak of metal and metalloid concentration. The predicted concentration of fine particulate matter in 2018 was decreased compared with that in 2017. Conclusion The concentration of fine particulate matter and the metal and metalloid elements varied significantly in different quarters, and the higher levels were observed in the first and fourth quarters. So, specific control measures should be taken according to different air pollution status. The predictive effect of the time-series model of the concentration of fine particulate matter in Jinan works well, which can not only contributes to understanding the trends of the concentration of fine particulate matter in Jinan, but also can serve as an important indicator of heavy pollution.

Key words: Fine particular matter, Metal and metalloid elements, Tendency, Forecast, Concentration

CLC Number: 

  • R122
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