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山东大学学报 (医学版) ›› 2018, Vol. 56 ›› Issue (11): 34-41.doi: 10.6040/j.issn.1671-7554.0.2017.1214

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济南市大气重点污染物对居民应急呼叫事件的急性影响

崔亮亮1,2,张萌3,于坤坤1,姜超3,阮师漫1   

  1. 1.济南市疾病预防控制中心环境健康所, 山东 济南 250021;2.山东大学公共卫生学院生物统计学系, 山东 济南 250012;3.济南市市中区疾病预防控制中心慢病科, 山东 济南 250013
  • 发布日期:2022-09-27
  • 通讯作者: 阮师漫. E-mail:shimanruan@gmail.com
  • 基金资助:
    山东省医药卫生科技发展计划(2015WS0435)

Acute effects of major air pollutants on emergency calls in Jinan City

CUI Liangliang1,2, ZHANG Meng3, YU Kunkun1, JIANG Chao3, RUAN Shiman1   

  1. 1. Department of Environmental Health, Jinan Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Jinan 250021, Shandong, China;
    2. Department of Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Shandong University, Jinan 250012, Shandong, China;
    3. Department of Chronic Disease, Jinan Shizhong District Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Jinan 250013, Shandong, China
  • Published:2022-09-27

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摘要： 目的 分析济南市大气重点污染物(PM2.5、SO2和NO2)对居民应急呼叫事件的急性影响。 方法 描述性分析2016年济南市逐日应急呼叫信息、大气污染物、气象指标。采用Quasi-Poisson回归的广义线性模型(GLM)定量评估污染物与居民应急呼叫量的关联强度。以污染物浓度每升高10 μg/m3,居民应急呼叫风险采用超额危险度(ER)及95%置信区间(95%CI)表示。探讨性别(男和女)、年龄(<65岁和≥65岁)的脆弱性。 结果 2016年济南市居民应急呼叫事件总量为43 966人次,日均120人次/d(80~183人次/d)。PM2.5、SO2、NO2浓度每升高10 μg/m3,居民应急呼叫量分别增加0.46%(95%CI:0.12%~0.79%)、1.25%(95%CI:0.36%~2.14%)、1.35%(95%CI:0.53%~2.17%),且最大效应值均出现在当天。3种污染物对男性的影响较女性明显,对不同年龄组人群的影响效应模式不同。 结论 济南市大气中PM2.5、SO2、NO2均对居民应急呼叫事件存在急性影响,且存在性别和年龄效应差异性。

关键词: 污染物, 应急呼叫事件, 急性效应, 时间序列分析, 脆弱性

Abstract: Objectives To assess the acute effects of major air pollutants(PM2.5, SO2 and NO2)on emergency calls in Jinan City. Methods Daily meteorological, air pollutants and health data of Jinan City in 2016 were collected for a descriptive analysis. A generalized linear model(GLM)based on Quasi-Poisson regression was used for estimating the acute effects of each pollutant and population emergency calling. The excess risk(ER)of population emergency calling and 95% confidence interval(CI)was calculated with a 10 μg/m3 increase in concentrations of PM2.5, SO2 and NO2, separately. Furthermore, we also explored the different effects in gender(male and female)and age group(<65 years and ≥65 years old). Results A total of 43 966 emergency calls with a range from 80 to 183 were collected. With an increase of 10 μg/m3 in the concentration of PM2.5(lag0), SO2(lag0), NO2(lag0), the population emergency calls could rised 0.46%(95%CI: 0.12%~0.79%), 1.25%(95%CI: 0.36%~2.14%)and 1.35%(95%CI: 0.53%~2.17%), individually. The male was more sensitive to air pollution than the female. Different acute effects of three air 山 东 大 学 学 报 (医 学 版)56卷11期 -崔亮亮,等.济南市大气重点污染物对居民应急呼叫事件的急性影响 \=-pollutants and emergency calls were varied on the different age groups. Conclusion The major air pollutants of PM2.5, SO2 and NO2 have significant acute effects on population emergency calling in Jinan City, particularly for the male and varied on the age group.

Key words: Air pollution, Emergency calls, Acute effect, Time series analysis, Vulnerability

中图分类号: 

  • R181.3+4
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